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Per-prediction updates and Q&A on Professor Jiang Xueqin's geopolitical forecasts. 16 prediction updates · 18 Q&A posts.
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Q&A October 30, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Confirmed Predictions: What He Got Right
Jiang Xueqin has 17 confirmed predictions in the public record as of 2026-10-30. The strongest cluster is the U.S.-Iran war: he called the war (P011), the bombing of Iranian nuclear sites (P012), the failure of Shock and Awe (P015), the…
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Q&A October 29, 2026
Predictive History: Jiang Xueqin's Method for Forecasting Geopolitics
Predictive history is the method Professor Jiang Xueqin uses to forecast geopolitical events: he treats the past as a set of recurring patterns, reads current events through the structural pressures on states and empires, and makes…
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Q&A October 28, 2026
Is Jiang Xueqin Credible? A Strong but Narrow Track Record
Jiang Xueqin has been right more often than wrong on the predictions that have resolved, but the sample is small and heavily concentrated in one subject: the US-Iran war. As of 2026-10-28, 17 of his 22 resolved predictions are confirmed…
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Q&A October 27, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Called Trump's 2024 Win in April 2024, and Was Right
Yes. Professor Jiang Xueqin predicted in April 2024 that Donald Trump would win the November 2024 presidential election, and that prediction (P001) is marked confirmed. For anyone asking who predicted Trump 2024 before the campaign was…
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Q&A October 26, 2026
Jiang Xueqin's Iran War Prediction: Mostly Confirmed, Key Calls Pending
Yes. Professor Jiang Xueqin said in April 2024 that the United States would go to war with Iran, and that call (P011) is marked confirmed. Of the 18 Iran-related predictions we track, 10 are confirmed and one is wrong. The rest are still…
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Q&A October 25, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Accuracy: More Right Than Wrong, but the Sample Is Small
Jiang Xueqin has been right far more often than wrong on the predictions that have resolved, but only a small slice of his forecasts has resolved. As of 2026-10-25, 17 of his predictions are confirmed and 5 are wrong, a headline accuracy…
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Q&A October 24, 2026
Jiang Xueqin's Wrong Predictions: One Miss, Fully Documented
As of 2026-10-24, jiangpredictions.com has marked five of Professor Jiang Xueqin's predictions wrong. Of the 22 that have resolved, 17 were confirmed, which works out to 77% accuracy. This post covers the one miss we can describe in…
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Q&A October 23, 2026
Jiang Xueqin's Economy and Dollar Predictions: One Confirmed, Most Pending
Jiang Xueqin's economy and dollar predictions are, so far, mostly unresolved. Of the economic calls tracked on this site, one has been confirmed: his February 2025 forecast that Trump would launch trade wars against Canada, Mexico and…
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Q&A October 22, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Taiwan: He Predicted No Near-Term Chinese Invasion
No. Jiang Xueqin has not predicted a China-Taiwan war in any of the 450 predictions tracked on this site. His explicit Taiwan call runs the other way: in late 2024 he said China will not invade Taiwan (P069). As of 2026-10-22, that…
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Q&A October 21, 2026
Jiang Xueqin on Israel: Iran War Calls Confirmed, Pax Judaica Still Pending
Jiang Xueqin's Israel predictions fall into two groups: a short set of Iran-war calls that have been confirmed, and a much longer set of long-range forecasts about a regional "Empire of Israel" that remain unresolved. Of the…
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Q&A October 18, 2026
What Did Jiang Xueqin Predict About Ukraine? A War That Won't End
Jiang Xueqin's central Ukraine prediction is that the war does not end — it grinds. Since April 2024 he has argued that Vladimir Putin will drag the conflict out for years rather than escalate it into a direct NATO confrontation, and…
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Q&A October 17, 2026
Jiang Xueqin YouTube: Where to Watch His Lectures Online
Jiang Xueqin's lectures are free to watch, and they live in three places: his Predictive History channel on YouTube, where each lecture is posted in full; his Substack, where the same material appears in written form; and the by-video…
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Q&A October 15, 2026
How Jiang Xueqin's Geopolitical Prediction Methodology Works
Jiang Xueqin predicts geopolitics by looking past leaders and personalities to structural pressures: imperial overstretch, elite succession crises, civilizational decline, and historical patterns that rhyme across decades. His geopolitical…
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Q&A October 14, 2026
Best Geopolitical Predictions 2026: Jiang's Iran-First Map
Jiang Xueqin's 2026 timeline is not a scattershot list of guesses. It is one chain of causation running from the Persian Gulf outward: war with Iran first, succession in Tehran second, then the downstream bets on Russia, China…
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Q&A October 13, 2026
Who Predicted World War 3? Jiang Xueqin's Iran Thesis
Professor Jiang Xueqin is the most trackable public answer to who predicted World War 3. In his Substack essay "World War III Begins" and across his YouTube lectures, Jiang argued that the US-Iran conflict is not a regional…
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Q&A October 12, 2026
Jiang Xueqin's China Predictions: No Taiwan Invasion, Slow Decline
Jiang Xueqin, the Chinese academic whose YouTube lectures are tracked at jiangpredictions.com, does not forecast a sudden Chinese invasion of Taiwan. His China calls, as of the 2026-10-12 snapshot, point instead to a Beijing that avoids…
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Q&A October 11, 2026
What Jiang Xueqin Predicted About Russia: War, Attrition, Shadow Fleet
Jiang Xueqin's Russia record is a small number of resolved calls sitting on top of a very large pile of unresolved ones. As of 2026-10-11, this tracker holds 450 predictions across every category, of which 17 are confirmed, 5 are…
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Q&A October 10, 2026
Pax Judaica: Jiang Xueqin's Israeli-Led Order, Explained
Pax Judaica is Jiang Xueqin's shorthand for a projected Middle East order in which Israel, after a regional war and an American retreat, becomes the dominant power from the Nile to the Euphrates and beyond. It is not a description of…
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Correction: Jiang's World War III Forecast Is Still Open
On July 29, 2026, this tracker marked Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction P021 as wrong. That verdict was a mistake, and we have withdrawn it. The prediction is open again.
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Putin's Beijing Visit Days After Trump's Trip Confirms Jiang's Forecast
Vladimir Putin traveled to Beijing and met with Xi Jinping days after Donald J. Trump left China, NPR reported on May 20, 2026. The meeting, which NPR described as an occasion for the two leaders to hail their friendship and growing energy…
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EU–US Trade War of 2025 Confirms a Forecast by Professor Jiang Xueqin
DW.com reported on July 28, 2025, that the United States and the European Union fought an open trade war in 2025, after Washington imposed 25% steel and aluminum tariffs covering the EU in March and 20% tariffs on EU goods in April; the…
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China to Restrict AI Girlfriends From July 15, Resolving a Jiang Prediction
China will make AI girlfriends and virtual companions largely inaccessible from July 15, the Herald Goa reported on July 7, framing the product category as widespread enough to require regulation. The report resolves prediction P129…
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Iran War Ceasefire Nears After 101 Days With No Nuclear Weapons Used
Donald J. Trump said on June 9, 2026, that a deal to end the Iran War could be signed within two to three days, KCRA reported — a development that came after more than 101 days of conflict with no nuclear weapons used at any point. That…
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War Ends Without US Ground Troops in Iran, Falsifying a Two-Year-Old Jiang Call
CNN reported on June 12, 2026 that the US military had prepared a ground mission to capture Iran's uranium but Donald J. Trump explicitly paused it before it launched, and the conflict has since concluded without American ground forces…
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China Trained Russian Forces for Ukraine, Falsifying Jiang's 2025 Split Forecast
China covertly trained Russian service members who later returned to fight in Ukraine, Reuters reported on May 19, a disclosure that points to deepening military cooperation between Beijing and Moscow rather than the rupture Professor…
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US Strikes on Iran's Water Infrastructure Leave 20,000 Without Water
US strikes on Iran's water infrastructure left approximately 20,000 people without water, WION reported on June 11, 2026. Following that report, prediction P020 — Professor Jiang Xueqin's forecast that attacks on Iran's civilian…
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Russia Issued No Nuclear Umbrella Over Iran, Resolving a Jiang Forecast as Wrong
Reuters reported on March 3, 2026, that Russia characterized US and Israeli strikes on Iran as potentially backfiring — warning that the conflict could push Iran and Arab nations toward acquiring nuclear weapons — rather than issuing any…
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Current Headlines Identify Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran's Supreme Leader
Multiple current headlines have identified Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s Supreme Leader, the automated fact-checker concluded on May 29, 2026. Following that conclusion, prediction P041 was recorded as confirmed.
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Global Witness Report Resolves Jiang's Venezuela Attack Prediction
Global Witness reported on Jan. 13, 2026, that the United States attacked Venezuela, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction that America would attack Venezuela. Following that report, prediction P082 was recorded as confirmed on May…
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Time Magazine Said China Was Sitting Out the War on Iran
Time Magazine described China as sitting out the war on Iran on March 23, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin’s prediction that China would not significantly participate in the Iran conflict. Following that report, prediction P071 was…
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PBS Timeline Shows US-Iran War Lasted Many Weeks
PBS reported on April 21 that Donald J. Trump’s shifting public statements showed the US-Iran war had been underway from late February or March and remained a subject of ongoing or near-resolution discussion in mid-to-late April. Following…
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The Guardian Reported an Iran Campaign Shift, Resolving Jiang's Forecast
The Guardian reported that Donald J. Trump moved from shock-and-awe bombardment to a wait-and-see posture in Iran, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction that the doctrine would fail there. Following The Guardian's report…
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Donald J. Trump Won the 2024 Presidential Election, the AP Reported
Donald J. Trump won the 2024 presidential election, the Associated Press reported on Nov. 6, 2024. Following the AP's report, prediction P001 was recorded as confirmed.
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Reuters Reported Donald J. Trump Picked JD Vance as His Running Mate
Reuters reported on July 15, 2024, that Donald J. Trump selected Senator JD Vance of Ohio as his running mate at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee. The report resolved Professor Jiang Xueqin’s prediction that Trump would pick…