🔥 Evidence Radar
What's moving right now
🔥 12 surging
80 moving
300 quiet
380 open calls tracked
Updated October 30, 2026
Also moving this week
→ Anthropic vows to do the right thing. Can it succeed where Google failed? The Boston Globe · Oct 29 Read
→ A mayoral race with 2 Chows caused ballot confusion in Toronto. Can that be fixed? CBC · Oct 29 Read
→ Zelenskyy On A Possible Trump-Xi-Putin Meeting: I Wouldn’t Want This To Be A New “Yalta” uatv.ua · Oct 29 Read
Our read: Likely Wrong
→ Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 29, 2026 Institute for the Study of War · Oct 30 Read
↗ US warns allies to prepare for possible Iran strikes, retaliation after midterm elections The New Indian Express · Oct 29 Read
→ Kilmeade, Hume say Vance ‘not as popular as he thinks he is’ ahead of 2028 The Hill · Oct 29 Read
Recently settled · off the radar, on the record
Once a call is proven true or false it leaves the radar and joins the scored record . It stays here for 90 days so you can see what just came true — or didn't.
Quiet
300 predictions with no notable news this week
“The American strategy of bombs, propaganda, and money will NOT work against Iran” · US-Iran War“Bahrain will be the first GCC country to fall (Shia uprising)” · Middle East“The Ukraine war will NOT end -- Putin will drag it on without expanding it” · Russia/Ukraine“The global economy will suffer greatly over the next few months (from March 2026)” · Global Economy“Saudi Arabia's desalination plants will be attacked/destroyed by Iran, causing fresh water crisis within 2 weeks” · Middle East“Power of Siberia 2 pipeline will not be signed anytime soon as China avoids over-dependence on Russia” · China“Global famine and ecological disasters will increase over the next few years” · Global Order“The US will escalate to bombing civilian infrastructure including bridges, universities, reservoirs, power plants, and desalination plants in Iran war round two” · US-Iran War“Russia will reinforce/resupply Iran via the Caspian Sea as the US-Iran war progresses.” · US-Iran War“Europe will go to war with Russia” · Europe“US stock market will collapse as GCC sovereign wealth funds pull out” · Global Economy“Christian Zionists will force the US into ground invasion of Iran (fulfilling biblical prophecy)” · Religious/Eschatological“Dispensationalist premillennialism will become more popular over time in America” · Religious/Eschatological“US and Indonesian militaries will increasingly cooperate to close off the Strait of Malacca to Chinese trade.” · Global Order“Artificial intelligence is a scam and will not get any better - ChatGPT and similar systems will not significantly improve.” · Technology“Trump will try to stay in office for the rest of his life, possibly running as VP in 2028 with Don Jr. as president” · US Elections“Second American Civil War is very likely -- a series of violent episodes over 10-50 years” · US Domestic“America will become a white Christian isolationist theocracy after the civil war” · US Domestic“In 2028, Special Forces and Deep State will commit acts of terrorism and political assassination to ensure Trump wins” · US Domestic“The 2028 election will trigger the full explosion of the Civil War” · US Domestic“America's financial system / asset bubbles will eventually implode” · US Domestic“The American/Israeli strategy is to fracture Iran into ethnic enclaves fighting over water” · US-Iran War“The US-Iran war constitutes World War III” · US-Iran War“Iran's strategy is to lure America into a ground invasion, then fight defensive/guerrilla war in mountains” · US-Iran War
How to read this. Each card shows two different things. The direction bar (red ↔ green) is the one that matters — it shows whether this week's news runs against or toward the prediction coming true. The orange buzz meter only shows how much news there is — how loud the topic is, not which way it points. A call can be the loudest on the board and still have the evidence against it.
Early-warning radar, not a verdict. Activity is measured from relevant news, checked daily, and judged for relevance by an automated reviewer. Only our full review ever changes a prediction's official status — see the track record and every prediction . The buzz meter fills in as weekly history accrues.