The Jiang Xueqin YouTube Channel: Where to Watch His Lectures Online
Jiang Xueqin's lectures live primarily in one place: his YouTube channel, Predictive History. That's where he publishes the long-form geopolitical lectures this site tracks. He also writes on Substack, and this site keeps a by-video index that pairs every tracked lecture with the individual predictions made in it. Finding Jiang Xueqin lectures online is straightforward once you know the three doors:
- Predictive History on YouTube — the source of every prediction tracked here
- predictivehistory.substack.com — his written analysis
- By-video index — each lecture cross-referenced against its extracted claims
The Predictive History YouTube channel
Start at youtube.com/@PredictiveHistory. The channel is the Jiang Xueqin YouTube home base in every sense that matters: long-form, lecture-style videos on geopolitics, with the US–China relationship, the Middle East, US elections, and technology recurring as subjects — the same categories that organize the predictions tracked here. As of 2026-08-15, this site follows 176 of his lectures, 175 of them fully transcribed and processed.
The channel is also the canonical record. Every one of the 376 predictions tracked on this site was extracted from a Predictive History video, with the timestamp preserved so you can click through and hear the claim in his own words, in context. If you want the unfiltered source, this is it — subscribe and turn on notifications to catch new lectures as they arrive.
The Substack, for the written version
For readers who prefer prose, Jiang writes at predictivehistory.substack.com. The essays cover the same territory as the lectures — think of it as the written companion to the Predictive History channel rather than a separate project. Because Substack delivers posts by email, it's also the lowest-effort way to follow him between videos.
One caution worth knowing: the domain predictivehistory.com is a fan archive, not Jiang's own site. His first-party channels are the YouTube channel, the Substack, and his X account, @xueqinjiang.
Watch with the record open
The practical problem with lecture-driven forecasting is that claims scatter across hundreds of videos and are almost never revisited. That's the gap the by-video index fills: every tracked lecture gets an entry listing the predictions extracted from it, each linked to its own page with the original timestamp, category, and current status. Watch a lecture on YouTube, then pull up its entry here to see which claims were specific enough to score — and how each one has aged.
What the lectures have produced so far
As of 2026-08-15, the system holds 376 predictions drawn from those 176 lectures. Of those, 22 have resolved: 16 confirmed and 6 wrong, a 73% hit rate on decided calls. Be clear-eyed about the denominator — 337 predictions are still pending or set aside as unverifiable, so 22 resolved is a small sample, and that percentage will move, possibly a lot, as the backlog settles. Treat it as an early reading, not a final grade.
The early returns include sizable hits. His April 2024 call that Trump would win the presidential election (P001) was settled on election night. In May 2024 he predicted Trump would pick Nikki Haley as his running mate (P002a) — wrong — while also naming JD Vance the stronger bet (P002b), which is how it ended at the Republican convention. His April 2024 prediction that the United States would go to war with Iran (P011) was borne out when the war began in early 2026, along with the details he attached to it: attacks on Iranian civilian infrastructure (P020), the closure of the Strait of Hormuz (P026), and Mojtaba Khamenei emerging as the next Supreme Leader after the March 2026 strike that killed his father (P041, P088). In December 2025 he called the American attack on Venezuela (P082).
The misses sit on the same page. Putin never declared the nuclear umbrella over Iran that Jiang expected before the war (P017). Both columns stay up permanently; that's the point of a public ledger.
Whether a given lecture ages into a hit or a miss, the viewing order is the same: open the Predictive History channel, press play, and keep the by-video index open in the next tab.
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