Where to Watch Jiang Xueqin Lectures Online: YouTube and More
Professor Jiang Xueqin publishes his geopolitical lectures on the Predictive History channel on YouTube, where he records long-form talks on U.S.–China competition, the Middle East, and American elections. That channel — Predictive History (@PredictiveHistory) — is the canonical source for nearly everything tracked on this site. As of 2026-07-04, 171 of his source lectures sit in the system, 170 of them transcribed. For anyone asking where to find Jiang Xueqin lectures online, the YouTube channel is the first and main stop.
The Predictive History YouTube channel
Jiang's primary outlet is the Predictive History channel on YouTube. New lectures appear there regularly, each typically long enough to lay out a full thesis — a specific forecast, the reasoning behind it, and a timeline for when it should resolve. The topical range is wide: recent uploads have tracked the US–Iran war, Chinese strategic positioning, Iranian leadership succession, and American electoral politics. A search for "jiang xueqin youtube" brings the channel up directly under the handle @PredictiveHistory. Almost every prediction cited on this tracker begins as one of those uploads. His April 2024 call (P001) that Donald Trump would win the 2024 presidential election, and his May 2024 read (P002b) that JD Vance was a strong vice-presidential pick for Trump, both came from lectures on the channel well before the events resolved.
What to expect from the format
The lectures are unvarnished. Jiang speaks to camera at length, working through a geopolitical question — whether China would meaningfully enter a US–Iran conflict (P071), or how long such a war might run (P018) — and arriving at a specific, falsifiable claim. There is little production polish and no fast cutting; the value is in the argument and the willingness to commit to a dated forecast. That directness is what makes the predictions trackable at all.
The by-video index here
This site mirrors the channel at the lecture level. The by-video index lists each source talk and ties it to the specific predictions drawn from it — confirmed, wrong, or still pending. If a particular lecture caught your attention on YouTube, that page is the fastest way to see how its forecasts have held up against subsequent news. Think of it as a structured table of contents for the Predictive History backlog, organized talk by talk, with each claim timestamped to the moment it was made on camera.
Why the source matters
The reason we point back to the original lectures rather than paraphrasing them is transparency. A forecast is only as meaningful as the moment it was made and the reasoning behind it, and the videos carry both in full. As of 2026-07-04, the system holds 340 predictions drawn from those talks: 15 confirmed, 5 wrong, and 304 still pending or unverifiable, for a headline accuracy of 75 percent across the 20 resolved so far. That denominator is small — 20 resolutions out of 340 tracked — so the percentage is a tentative read rather than a settled verdict.
Still, the early returns lean mostly confirmed, and the US–Iran forecasts in particular have resolved quickly. Among them: the prediction (P012) that the United States would bomb Iranian nuclear facilities, the call (P026) that Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz, and the forecast (P088) that a decapitation strike would kill Ayatollah Khamenei. The misses sit on the public record in the same place — among them the May 2024 prediction (P002a) that Trump would pick Nikki Haley as his running mate, and the May 2024 call (P040) that Muhammad Mokhber would win Iran's June 2024 presidential election.
How to follow along
For most readers the practical path is simple: watch the lectures on the Predictive History channel, then use the by-video index here to track how each talk's predictions resolve over time. New uploads are transcribed and added to the system on a rolling basis, so the gap between what Jiang says on camera and what appears here stays short.
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